Place Your First Prediction

INFO

Screenshots on this page are demonstrated using FoxChat wallet.

Entering a market on Signa takes a few steps: find a market, read it carefully, choose an outcome, enter an amount, and confirm the transaction. This page walks through what each of those steps involves and what to pay attention to along the way.

Find a market worth entering

Not every market is equally well-structured. Before committing funds, spend a moment reading the market as a whole.

Look at:

• The question. Is it specific and tied to a real event with a verifiable result? Vague questions are harder to settle cleanly.
• The outcomes. Do they cover the realistic possibilities without overlap? Is it clear what each one means?
• The rules. Do the rules explain how the result will be determined? A market with thin or ambiguous rules carries more settlement risk.
• The timing. When does participation close? When is settlement expected? Make sure the timeline makes sense for the event being predicted.

A market that is easy to understand before you enter is likely easier to resolve after the event.

Read the pool before you commit

The pool reflects where other participants have placed their capital. It tells you two things: how the market currently prices each outcome, and what your potential return looks like.

A market page shows the question, current multipliers for each outcome, total pool size, and the pool split. Tap an outcome to open the position panel.

A few things to keep in mind:

Odds move with participation. The estimated return you see is based on the current pool state. Every new position — including yours — shifts the odds slightly. By the time your transaction confirms, the odds will have moved.

Estimated returns account for your own effect. When you enter an amount, the return estimate factors in the dilution your own position creates in that outcome's pool. This makes the estimate more realistic than simply reading the current odds.

Larger positions in a heavily favored outcome return less. Because payouts are proportional, adding more capital to an already dominant outcome pool reduces the return per unit for everyone in that outcome, including you.

Choose your outcome and amount

Select the outcome you believe will occur. Enter the amount of USDT you want to commit.

Before confirming, understand what happens to that amount:

An entry fee is deducted from your position before any of it enters the pool. The remaining amount — your net position — is what actually counts toward your share of the payout if your outcome wins. The estimated return shown in the interface reflects this net position, not your gross input.

The minimum position size is set by the market. If you enter an amount below that threshold, the transaction will not go through.

Confirm the transaction

When you are ready, your wallet will ask you to sign and submit the transaction. Review the details — the outcome you selected, the amount, and the estimated gas fee — before confirming.

The position panel shows your side, amount, estimated return, and projected profit before you confirm.

A confirmation banner appears once the transaction is on-chain. Your position is now locked in.

Once the transaction is submitted and confirmed on-chain, your position is final. It cannot be changed, reversed, or withdrawn. The market continues accepting positions from other participants until the participation window closes.

Leave a comment

Each market has a Discussion section where participants can share their reasoning or analysis. Comments are tied to your wallet address and visible to everyone.

The Discussion section is below the market pool on every market page. Anyone can post and reply.

What comes next

After your position is confirmed, the market continues its lifecycle independently of any action you need to take. Your role at this point is to wait and monitor.

The sequence from here:

1. The participation window closes — no new positions can be entered.
2. The creator submits a settlement result.
3. A dispute window opens — participants can raise a dispute if they believe the result is wrong.
4. The market resolves — either after the dispute window closes without escalation, or after dispute and arbitration complete.
5. Claims become available — you can claim your payout if your outcome won, or your refund if the market was voided.

None of these steps require action from you until the market is resolved and it is time to claim.