Launch a Market

INFO

Screenshots on this page are demonstrated using FoxChat wallet.

Any wallet can create a market on Signa. There is no application process or approval step. What is required is preparation: a clearly defined question, well-structured outcomes, written rules, a timing setup, and seed funds.

This page explains what goes into a market before it is created, what happens when it goes live, and what you are responsible for from that point forward.

What you need to prepare

Before launching a market, you need five things ready:

A question. The question defines what is being predicted. It should be specific, verifiable, and tied to a real-world event with a determinable outcome. See Write Good Markets for detailed guidance.

Outcomes. Every market needs at least two possible outcomes. Outcomes must be clearly distinct from one another and together cover all plausible results. There is an upper limit on how many outcomes a single market can have.

Rules. Rules explain how the final result should be interpreted. They define what counts as each outcome, what source or standard will be used, and how edge cases should be handled. Rules are the reference point for settlement and any dispute that follows.

Timing. A market has three time parameters you set:

• Participation open — when users can begin taking positions. Can be set to now or a future time.

• Participation close — when the market stops accepting new positions. Must be after the open time and within the protocol's maximum market horizon.

  Participation must close before the event result becomes known. This is a foundational requirement for a prediction market to function: if participants can still take positions after the event has occurred, those who know the result will have a systematic advantage over earlier participants who did not. This is not only unfair to early participants — it undermines the core purpose of the market, turning it from a reflection of participants' judgments about the future into arbitrage on known information.

• Settlement open — the earliest point at which you can submit a settlement result. Must be at or after the participation close.

These three points form the market's timeline. The gap between participation close and settlement open determines how much time passes between the event ending and when you are expected to submit your result.

Seed funds. When you create a market, you deposit an initial amount of funds into each outcome's pool. This is required — it establishes the starting liquidity for the market and means every outcome has at least some initial depth before the first participant arrives.

Your seed is not a fee. It becomes your position in each outcome pool and is treated the same way any other participant's position is treated when the market resolves.

Creating a market: step by step

Market creation is a three-step flow: Describe → Options → Launch.

Step 1: Describe

Enter your prediction question and let the AI organise the taxonomy. The AI reads your question and suggests a category and tags. Review the suggestions and apply them, or adjust before continuing.

Enter your prediction question. Tap Organise with AI to have the AI suggest a category and tags.

The AI returns a suggested category and tags with a confidence score. Review and tap Continue.

Step 2: Options

Define your outcomes and set the market's timing. The AI Rules Assistant drafts the resolution rules based on your question and timing — review the draft and edit anything that needs adjusting before moving on.

Set your outcomes and timing. The AI Rules Assistant drafts resolution rules — tap Draft rules with AI to generate them.

The AI draft populates the rules field. Read it carefully — these rules are the reference for settlement and any dispute.

Step 3: Launch

Set the seed amount per outcome. The interface shows the total USDT required across all outcomes. Review the summary and tap Launch market to submit the creation transaction.

Set the seed amount per outcome. The summary shows the total USDT required. Tap Launch market to confirm.

Once the transaction is confirmed, the market is live. A confirmation sheet appears with your referral link — copy it to start earning referral fees from the first participant.

The market launched sheet includes your referral link. Share it to earn 2.5% of every trade your referrals make.

Seed funds and your position as a creator

The seed amount applies to each outcome individually. If your market has three outcomes, you seed all three.

Once the market is created, your seeded amount is recorded as your position in each pool. When the market resolves:

• if an outcome wins, your seed in the winning pool participates in the payout calculation alongside other participants
• if the market is voided, your seed is returned as part of the refund

Creating a market means having real capital at stake in it — not just as an incentive to manage it well, but structurally, as a participant.

After creation

Once a market is created, its core parameters are fixed. The question, outcomes, and rules cannot be changed after publication.

The market opens to participation automatically when the participation open time is reached. No further action is needed from you at that point.

From creation onward, you carry settlement responsibility. When the event concludes and the settlement window opens, you are expected to submit the correct result within the allowed time. Failing to do so has direct consequences — for your earnings and for participants in the market.

See Creator Responsibilities and Creator Earnings for details on what is expected and what is at stake.