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Signal Layer data output

Probability Data Standardization

Data Flow

Market Price → Probability Signal → Downstream Applications

AI Models, Financial Risk Control, DAO Governance

Data Quality Assurance

FeatureSigna Signal LayerOrdinary Prediction Markets
Probability Consistency✅ Yes+No=1 Eternal❌ Price Fluctuation
Real-time Updates✅ On-chain Instant❌ Delayed Aggregation
Interpretability✅ Direct Probability Input❌ Requires Conversion
Composability✅ API/Index/Model❌ Isolated Data

Downstream Application Scenarios

  • AI Training: Event probabilities as feature inputs
  • DeFi Risk Control: Black swan probabilities as risk parameters
  • DAO Governance: Proposal passage probability for decision quantification
  • Arbitrage Strategies: Capture opportunities from cross-market probability differences

The Signal Layer of Prediction Markets